Showing posts with label New York Giants. Show all posts
Showing posts with label New York Giants. Show all posts

Tuesday, September 22, 2009

Will the real Steve Smith please stand up?

No, not the Steve Smith trapped down in Carolina with Jake Delhomme and the hapless Panther offense. I'm talking about the real Steve Smith in New York who's tied for the league lead in receiving yards (214 yds.) for the 2-0 Giants. With all of the questions surrounding New York's passing game and whether anyone could fill the shoes of Plaxico Burress, I think it's fair to say that he's answered the call so far. Time will tell as to whether he can sustain this sort production, but he's certainly off to a good start.

Although thought of primarily as a possession-type receiver even coming out of college at USC, he's proving that his game is much more than just 8-10 yard slants and out routes. He's been able to create separation from the defense and pick up bigger chucks of yardage at a time. In his 10 reception, 134 yard performance on Sunday night, he hauled in a long pass of 32 yards from Eli Manning. It may not be a 60 yard bomb, but it's definitely helping to fill in the void left by Burress' big-play potential.

On the other hand, this type of statline is what we've come to expect from the other Steve Smith. The one who's had 6 straight seasons with at least 1,000 yds. and averaged 8 TD's (minus the '04-'05 season where he went down for the year in the first game). But can we continue to expect this kind of production? With the way the Panthers offense have started out the year, he may have a difficult time duplicating those numbers. There's no doubt he's still an explosive game-changing receiver, but with the concerns at the QB position and the lack of another receiving option, this could be the year his production starts to slide.

Of course at this point in the season it would be foolish to suggest that the Steve Smith of New York has eclipsed the Steve Smith of Carolina by any measure, but I think it's worth noting given each receivers current situation. If the Giants end up winning the NFC East and the Panthers struggle in the NFC South, then I'd expect both Steve Smith's to be within 100 yards and 2 TD's of each other by the end of the season.

Fantasy Impact: Pretty simple...both guys should be owned in all league sizes and formats. I'm not sure if I'd declare them both "must starts" just yet, but a few more weeks of consistent play from Smith (NYG) and I think that's a pretty reasonable conclusion to draw.

Thursday, September 3, 2009

Preseason Rankings: Rookies

The following series of posts will list the top 10 fantasy players based on projected fantasy output for the upcoming 2009 season.

This season's batch of rookies will have big shoes to fill after last season's group took the league by storm. Guys like Matt Forte, Chris Johnson, and Matt Ryan all stepped right on the field as rookies and were immediate game-changers. A few guys on this list have that kind of potential this year, but it may come down to seizing the opportunity when it comes. Chris 'Beanie' Wells seems to have found himself a nice situation in Arizona with the Cardinals looking to establish more of a power running game. If he can avoid the IR, he should contribute right away. Matthew Stafford also finds himself with offensive weapons around him in Detroit, so the opportunity is there for an immediate impact. With Thomas Jones due for an injury, I expect Shonn Greene to be the man in New York by the end of the season. Also looks for Hakeem Nicks build a nice rapport with Eli Manning. I like Mark Sanchez and LeSean McCoy looking down the road, but I don't think they'll be factors this season.

1. Chris 'Beanie' Wells (ARI)
2. Matthew Stafford (DET)
3. Shonn Greene (NYJ)
4. Knowshon Moreno (DEN)
5. Hakeem Nicks (NYG)
6. Donald Brown (IND)
7. Mark Sanchez (NYJ)
8. LeSean McCoy (PHI)
9. Percy Harvin (MIN)
10. James Davis (CLE)

Fantasy Impact: Rookies are always such a tough group to draft because of the unpredictability. First of all, you don't know if they're good enough to play at the next level. Second of all, they're probably on a bad team in a bad situation. Thirdly, you never know how injuries might affect the situation (i.e. Rashard Mendenhall last year). If your in a single-season league then roll the dice will mid-round picks on guys like Wells and Moreno if you want, but be prepared to live with the possible consequences. My advice for legacy or keeper leagues would be to wait until the late rounds and pick up a guy like Jeremy Maclin or Glen Coffee who may not be a starter right now, but has the potential to be a starter down the road. You never know when an injury can open up the door of opportunity.